征稿期刊

Futures

期刊级别

IF 3.8 (JCR 2024)

SSCI

Q1 (ECONOMICS 80/617)

Q1 (REGIONAL & URBAN PLANNING 11/55)

征稿主题

Constructing futures through climate modelling

细分领域

Integrating evidence & knowledge systems

How different kinds and bodies of evidence and knowledge (including qualitative, quantitative, sectoral, local, and indigenous) can be integrated in constructing climate futures and what challenges arise as a result;

How the vulnerability of different social groups is and can be represented in modelling, and how this relates to such groups’ own perspectives and agency on the future;

How to work with potential irreducible divergence across modelling approaches, knowledge bases and epistemic cultures.

Model structures, assumptions & limitations

The extent to which computer modelling is necessary for climate futures, what limitations it faces, and how challenges (such as opaqueness) may be addressed;

The ways overshoots and high-impact (climate) events are captured by modelling, and how they are translated into policy narratives about the future;

The interplay between expectations about the policy-relevance of models and tractability considerations in shaping and constraining how models are developed;

Whether modelling paradigms other than the prevailing IAM approaches (e.g. agent-based models, system dynamics, sectoral models, etc.) might be complementary or even more robust in helping to anticipate diverse possible futures and to explore uncertainties;

Why some heavily criticised features of global mitigation scenarios (e.g. high discount rates, high reliance on carbon dioxide removal technologies) tend to persist, while specific kinds of scenarios (such as low energy demand, post-growth, climate damage risks and other bidirectional feedbacks) remain under-explored.

Policy and societal goals

How the concept of scenario ‘feasibility’ may obscure political judgements about the future that may constrain which mitigation pathways are considered;

The ways overshoots and high-impact (climate) events feature in modelling, and how they are translated into policy narratives about the future;

Under what circumstances may modelling widen the universe of possible futures under consideration, or inadvertently narrow it;

What to do with obsolete or discarded climate futures - i.e., climate futures that were once central to modelling debates or policy narratives but no longer are;

The extent to which modelling can explicitly incorporate goals of social justice, ecological sustainability, and human well-being.

重要时间

Submission Deadline: 31 March 2026